The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) feared the continuing increase in the number of Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone. By January, CDC projected a rise between 550,000 to 1.4 million if there are no supplementary interferences or changes in communal comportment.
In a report on Tuesday, CDC revealed a new forecasting tool they developed to help estimate the increasing number of Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever cases on the region. Officials said that they think the current case count is highly under-reported. The range of estimated cases to come by January is between 550,000 to 1.4 million.
The World Health Organization said that the official death toll from Ebola Hemorrhagic cases in West Africa has climbed to over 2,800 in six months, with 5,800 cases confirmed as of Monday. CDC fears the continuing rise of Ebola in the region.
CDC estimated that if 70 percent of people infected with Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever are properly cared for in medical facilities, the epidemic cold begin to decrease and eventually end. Given that several nations and organizations have sworn to provide more support for the Ebola-affected countries, the CDC report suggests the feared higher projections of cases in the coming months might be avoided.
CDC Director Tom Frieden stated in a press conference on Tuesday, he warned that the Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever study is built on older data from August. The figures are not prognostications but situations. The study does not take into consideration President Obama's announcement that the US is sending troops and added medical equipment to the area. Nor does it take into account the additional help from other nations assured after the President's declaration.
A special assistant to the President and senior director of the National Security Council Gayle Smith said the study conveys responders how to bend the curve and that the Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever epidemic can close with a huge global response. She said that the impetus must at least be preserved to safeguard the way out ahead of the outbreak and further that the transnational help must stay on epidemic as long as it takes.
WHO experts issued a separate nine-month assessment in The New England Journal of Medicine on Tuesday stating that the mortality rate of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa is 71 percent and that the prevailing epidemiologic viewpoint is austere. It cautions that devoid of severe enhancements in measures to control its spread, the number of cases and deaths from Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever is anticipated to continue rising from hundreds to thousands per week in the coming months. The assessment stated that if nothing changes, the amassed number of inveterate and plausible cases is expected to exceed 20,000 by November 2.
The assessments on the Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever stricken areas have proven to be very challenging. In Guinea, it advocates that monitoring the virus will not be viable until its neighbors stop its spread. The WHO reports on Liberia précises the state of drama as one of desolation and despondency annealed by some reasons of hope. The circumstances awareness for Sierra Leone explains how customary burial practices helped the virus spread quickly there following the funeral of an esteemed local healer. Sierra Leone instantly needs more treatment beds in much anodyne facilities, better contact training and follow-up, added personal protective equipment and body bags, and more properly protected teams to collect bodies and bury them safely.
Meanwhile, the Ebola Hemorrhagic fever cases in Nigeria and Senegal are quite stable as of the moment. WHO said that they have displayed that orthodox methods such as early detection, tracing of those who've been in contact with infected patients, isolation and sufficient supply of personal protective equipment can contain the virus.
The deadly Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever virus remains to be feared as increasing affected cases continues. But with proper, safe and ample resources and methods, the highly contagious virus can be contained and controlled like in Nigeria.
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